We produce the Justice Sector Projections on behalf of the justice sector. The projections are important for strategic planning within the sector. It includes:
Prison projections, covering the sentenced and remand prison populations. This looks 10 years ahead to give a long-term view of trends in the prison population.
One-year Prison projections, also covering the sentenced and remand prison populations. This looks ahead on a weekly basis for one year to capture short-term variation in the prison population, and is updated quarterly.
Non-custodial sentences projections covering offenders serving community sentences, and those on post-sentence orders.
Crown Law projections, covering the numbers of Crown prosecutions and appeals undertaken by Crown solicitors (under the oversight of the Solicitor-General) or lawyers from Crown Law.
Fines and remittals projections, covering the numbers of impositions, receipts and remittals of monetary penalties to Community Work sentences.
Legal aid projections, covering the numbers of grants, average costs, expenditure, and debt recovery for legal aid.
These reports monitor the progress of the projections against the real-life behaviour of the system, and also look at how accurate projection assumptions have been. From March 2016, these were called Justice Sector Outlook reports, and included details of any projections refreshed during the most recent quarter.
Forecast reports give details of new forecasts. Prior to 2013 there was one forecast a year, covering an increasing number of parts of the justice sector. Since 2013, that forecast has been broken down into several smaller forecasts.